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Abstract

This article analyses for the first time the asymmetric behavior in tourism demand by season across the business cycles based on time series and contributes herewith to a clear understanding of cyclical irregularities in tourism demand. For that reason, we study the outbound expenditures of four...

Author(s)
Smeral, E.
Publisher
Sage Publications, Thousand Oaks, USA
Citation
Journal of Travel Research, 2018, 57, 7, pp 936-946
Abstract

The study investigated the determinants and functional forms of international tourism demand for travel to Canada from the USA, UK, France, the former West Germany, and Japan. The study was conducted based on consumer demand theory by using annual time series data. The independent variables, per...

Author(s)
Qiu HanQin; Zhang, J.
Citation
Journal of Travel Research, 1995, 34, 2, pp 43-49
Abstract

This study introduces bootstrap aggregation (bagging) in modeling and forecasting tourism demand. The aim is to improve the forecast accuracy of predictive regressions while considering fully automated variable selection processes which are particularly useful in industry applications. The...

Author(s)
Athanasopoulos, G.; Song HaiYan; Sun, J. A.
Publisher
Sage Publications, Thousand Oaks, USA
Citation
Journal of Travel Research, 2018, 57, 1, pp 52-68
Abstract

In the face of the world recession, this article concentrates on analyzing and forecasting demand for outbound traveling in Australia, Canada, United States, Japan, and the EU-15 countries in terms of tourism imports at constant prices and exchange rates. Drawing on an analysis of the macroeconomic ...

Author(s)
Smeral, E.
Publisher
Sage Publications, Thousand Oaks, USA
Citation
Journal of Travel Research, 2010, 49, 1, pp 31-38
Abstract

The focus of this study is on presenting causes and hypotheses for the existence of asymmetric income and price effects on tourism demand across business cycles. The theoretical assumptions were tested by analyzing tourism import demand in different source markets, drawing on econometric models...

Author(s)
Smeral, E.
Publisher
Elsevier Ltd, Oxford, UK
Citation
Annals of Tourism Research, 2012, 39, 1, pp 379-400
Abstract

A formal, theoretical model of the dynamic structure of tourism demand is developed from consideration of information flows. The result is a nonlinear, diffusion form of model specification. Such models are estimated for seven major sources (Canada and USA, Germany, Japan, Malaysia, New Zealand,...

Author(s)
Morley, C. L.
Citation
Annals of Tourism Research, 1998, 25, 1, pp 70-84
Abstract

The forecasting of international tourist arrivals is normally done on a per country basis. The volume of tourist flow varies widely among countries, largely depending on their population size but also on their openness to tourism. This paper uses data for Austria, China (PRC), Canada, the Cook...

Author(s)
Vu, J. C.
Publisher
IP Publishing Limited, London, UK
Citation
Tourism Economics, 2006, 12, 2, pp 263-276
Abstract

The distance of travel has been considered an important determinant of travel decisions. As a result several tourism demand studies have incorporated distance among their explanatory variables. However, while the role of distance has been extensively investigated in relation to tourist arrivals,...

Author(s)
Anastasopoulos, P.
Citation
Annals of Tourism Research, 1991, 18, 4, pp 663-666
Abstract

The study looks at the evolution of real exchange rates during the 1980s for 10 of the world's leading tourism origin markets: USA, Canada, Germany, UK, France, Switzerland, Italy, Japan, Australia and New Zealand. In each case, real exchange rate movements are charted for the major destinations...

Citation
Travel & Tourism Analyst, 1991, No. 4, pp 49-75

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