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The paper examines three hypotheses using the time-series between 1978-95 of quarterly tourist flows into Japan, Australia and New Zealand (from four of: Australia, Japan, Korea Republic, Taiwan, UK, USA): namely, whether periodic models can be used to successfully forecast tourism arrival series:...

Turner, L. W.; Kulendran, N.; Fernando, H.
Tourism Economics, 1997, 3, 1, pp 39-56