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Abstract

Increasing levels of global and regional integration have led to tourist flows between countries becoming closely linked. These links should be considered when modeling and forecasting international tourism demand within a region. This study introduces a comprehensive and accurate systematic...

Author(s)
Assaf, A. G.; Li Gang; Song HaiYan; Tsionas, M. G.
Publisher
Sage Publications, Thousand Oaks, USA
Citation
Journal of Travel Research, 2019, 58, 3, pp 383-397
Abstract

A supply-side structural reform (SSR) has been carried out in China since late 2015, with a view to reducing overproduction in selected products such as coal, iron and steel. This paper examines whether the development of international tourism in China could support SSR, using an multi-methods...

Author(s)
Li ShiNa; Liu AnYu; Song HaiYan
Publisher
Elsevier Ltd, Oxford, UK
Citation
Tourism Management, 2019, 71, pp 305-314
Abstract

Globalization characterizes the economic, social, political, and cultural spheres of the modern world. Tourism has long been claimed as a crucial force shaping globalization, while in turn the developments of the tourism sector are under the influences of growing interdependence across the world....

Author(s)
Song HaiYan; Li Gang; Cao Zheng
Publisher
Sage Publications, Thousand Oaks, USA
Citation
Journal of Travel Research, 2018, 57, 8, pp 999-1011
Abstract

This study introduces bootstrap aggregation (bagging) in modeling and forecasting tourism demand. The aim is to improve the forecast accuracy of predictive regressions while considering fully automated variable selection processes which are particularly useful in industry applications. The...

Author(s)
Athanasopoulos, G.; Song HaiYan; Sun, J. A.
Publisher
Sage Publications, Thousand Oaks, USA
Citation
Journal of Travel Research, 2018, 57, 1, pp 52-68
Abstract

Purpose: Most existing studies on the impact of tourism on economic growth adopt an econometric approach that is insufficient to confirm that tourism actually leads to economic growth. Moreover, it cannot explain the causalities of different variables. Taking Mauritius as an example, this study...

Author(s)
Liu AnYu; Song HaiYan; Blake, A.
Publisher
Emerald Publishing, Bingley, UK
Citation
International Journal of Contemporary Hospitality Management, 2018, 30, 11, pp 3229-3249
Abstract

International tourism is considered an effective means of economic development. However, the effects of tourism are not evenly distributed between rural and urban households in China. In the wake of significant socioeconomic events, the uneven distribution of the economic effects has huge welfare...

Author(s)
Cao Zheng; Li ShiNa; Song HaiYan; Shen ShuJie
Publisher
Sage Publications, Thousand Oaks, USA
Citation
Journal of Travel Research, 2017, 56, 7, pp 881-892
Abstract

This study develops a global vector autoregressive (global VAR or GVAR) model to quantify the cross-country co-movements of tourism demand and simulate the impulse responses of shocks to the Chinese economy. The GVAR model overcomes the endogeneity and over-parameterisation issues found in many ...

Author(s)
Cao Zheng; Li Gang; Song HaiYan
Publisher
Elsevier Ltd, Oxford, UK
Citation
Annals of Tourism Research, 2017, 67, pp 1-31
Abstract

This study uses meta-analysis to examine the relationship between estimated international tourism demand elasticities and the data characteristics and study features that may affect such empirical estimates. By reviewing 195 studies published during the period 1961-2011, the meta-regression...

Author(s)
Peng Bo; Song HaiYan; Crouch, G. I.; Witt, S. F.
Publisher
Sage Publications, Thousand Oaks, USA
Citation
Journal of Travel Research, 2015, 54, 5, pp 611-633
Abstract

This paper aims to examine the demand for outbound tourism by mainland Chinese residents to 11 international destinations, and provide long-run forecasts up to the year 2020. The empirical results suggest that the income level and the cost of a stay at a tourism destination compared with that of...

Author(s)
Lin ShanShan [Lin, S. S. V. ]; Liu AnYu; Song HaiYan
Publisher
Routledge, Philadelphia, USA
Citation
Journal of Travel & Tourism Marketing, 2015, 32, 1/2, pp 34-49
Abstract

This study assumes that tourists' demand reactions to income and price changes are asymmetric at different phases of the business cycle. In order to test this hypothesis, we analyzed the demand for international tourism in five source markets using a modified growth rate (MGR) model. The empirical...

Author(s)
Smeral, E.; Song HaiYan
Publisher
Wiley-Blackwell, Chichester, UK
Citation
International Journal of Tourism Research, 2015, 17, 2, pp 140-150

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