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Abstract

Monthly hotel arrivals data for visitors to Portsmouth, UK, over the period January 1987 to December 1994 are examined with the objective of measuring and testing changing patterns of seasonality over time and investigating the possible effect of various policy initiatives and special events on...

Author(s)
Grainger, J.; Judge, G.
Citation
Discussion Papers - Department of Economics, University of Portsmouth, 1996, No. 73, pp 33 pp.
Abstract

The AIDS model is presented as a methodology for estimating the complementarity and substitutability of alternative destinations. The regression results are based on US annual data for select sites for 1980-1995. They represent the most popular European destinations for US visitors. It is reported...

Author(s)
Fish, M.; Yi Xia
Publisher
CABI Publishing, Wallingford, UK
Citation
Consumer psychology of tourism, hospitality and leisure., 1999, pp 331-344
Abstract

This chapter deals with the issue of limits to growth in tourism due to demand factors and associated concepts such as market maturity and saturation. The focus is on leisure travel since the notions of demand maturity are not so easily applied to non-personal business travel. A basic methodology...

Author(s)
Graham, A.
Citation
Tourism statistics: international perspectives and current issues, 2001, pp 199-214
Abstract

This study proposes a new methodology, the time-varying parameter (TVP) approach to tourism demand modelling. This method relaxes the assumption of parameter constancy, and the behavioural change of tourists over time is traced using a statistical estimator known as a Kalman filter. The...

Author(s)
Song, H.; Wong, K. K. F.
Publisher
Sage Publications, Thousand Oaks, USA
Citation
Journal of Travel Research, 2003, 42, 1, pp 57-64
Abstract

The general-to-specific approach to econometric modelling and forecasting has a clear strategy in model specification, estimation, and selection and is demonstrated in the context of international tourism demand. A general autoregressive distributed lag model is reduced to various specific models ...

Author(s)
Song, H.; Witt, S. F.
Publisher
Sage Publications, Thousand Oaks, USA
Citation
Journal of Travel Research, 2003, 42, 1, pp 65-74
Abstract

This study investigates the performance of combination forecasts in comparison to individual forecasts. The empirical study focuses on the U.K. outbound leisure tourism demand for the United States. The combination forecasts are based on the competing forecasts generated from seven individual...

Author(s)
Shen ShuJie; Li Gang; Song HaiYan
Publisher
Sage Publications, Thousand Oaks, USA
Citation
Journal of Travel Research, 2008, 47, 2, pp 197-207
Abstract

This study investigates the performance of combination forecasts in the context of international tourism demand. Five econometric and two time-series models are employed to generate individual forecasts. Six combination methods are then employed, and their forecasting performance evaluated, using ...

Author(s)
Shen ShuJie; Li Gang; Song HaiYan
Publisher
Elsevier Ltd, Oxford, UK
Citation
Annals of Tourism Research, 2011, 38, 1, pp 72-89
Abstract

This paper introduces a new indicator for tourism demand forecasting constructed from Google Trends' search query time series data. The indicator is based on a composite search for "hotels and flights" from three main source countries to five popular tourist destinations in the Caribbean. We...

Author(s)
Bangwayo-Skeete, P. F.; Skeete, R. W.
Publisher
Elsevier Ltd, Oxford, UK
Citation
Tourism Management, 2015, 46, pp 454-464
Abstract

This paper analyzes seasonality in the United Kingdom, specifically the English regions in relation to tourists' place of origin and main travel motivation. The method used is a decomposition of the Gini index, which provides relative marginal effects that facilitate the identification of market...

Author(s)
Fernández-Morales, A.; Cisneros-Martínez, J. D.; McCabe, S.
Publisher
Elsevier Ltd, Oxford, UK
Citation
Tourism Management, 2016, 56, pp 172-190
Abstract

This paper proposes three methodologies for measuring and analyzing tourist seasonality from a market-side perspective and empirically implements them for Spain as a whole. Firstly, seasonality is analyzed by means of monthly concentration indexes and the coefficient of variation is especially...

Author(s)
Turrión-Prats, J.; Duro, J. A.
Publisher
Elsevier, Amsterdam, Netherlands
Citation
Journal of Destination Marketing & Management, 2018, 8, pp 23-31

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