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Abstract

Tourist arrivals series from Hong Kong, Malaysia, and Singapore to Australia exhibit strong seasonality. This paper applies the moving average technique for estimating the seasonal components of time series to monthly tourist arrivals time series data to Australia. The autocorrelation and partial...

Author(s)
Lim, C.; McAleer, M.
Citation
Annals of Tourism Research, 2001, 28, 1, pp 68-82
Abstract

Various exponential smoothing models are estimated over the period 1975-99 to forecast quarterly tourist arrivals to Australia from Hong Kong, Malaysia, and Singapore. The root mean squared error criterion is used as a measure of forecast accuracy. Prior to obtaining the one-quarter-ahead forecasts ...

Author(s)
Lim, C.; McAleer, M.
Publisher
Pergamon Press, Oxford, UK
Citation
Annals of Tourism Research, 2001, 28, 4, pp 965-977