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The economic cost of invasive non-native species on Great Britain.

Book cover for The economic cost of invasive non-native species on Great Britain.

Description

The impact of Invasive Non-Native Species (INNS) can be manifold, ranging from loss of crops, damaged buildings, and additional production costs to the loss of livelihoods and ecosystem services. INNS are increasingly abundant in Great Britain and in Europe generally and their impact is rising. Hence, INNS are the subject of considerable concern in Great Britain, prompting the development of a Non-Native Species Strategy and the formation of the GB Non-Native Species Programme Board and Secretariat. A number of estimates of the economic impact of INNS on various countries, including the UK, exist, but the detail in many of these estimates is lacking and the impact on different sectors of the country is largely unknown. This research estimates the current annual cost of INNS to the British economy. The report provides assessments of the economic cost of INNS to twelve sectors and the report contains detailed examples for three species (Japanese knotweed, signal crayfish and floating pennywort). Five case studies are also included to demonstrate the costs of eradication at different stages of invasion. The report only considers negative economic impacts of INNS, although it is acknowledged that non-native species, including some invasive ones can make a positive contribution to the economy. Various methods were used to secure data for economic estimations. References of relevance to over 500 non-native species were gathered from the scientific and grey literature as well as the internet. A detailed questionnaire was sent to key organisations, primarily to develop contacts but also to gather initial information. The collected information was used to estimate the costs, partially based on calculations for individual species, which was anonymously reviewed by selected experts from each of the sectors. The total current annual cost of INNS to the British economy is estimated, when corrected for double counting, at £ 1,291,461,000 to England, £ 244,736,000 to Scotland and £ 125,118,000 to Wales. Therefore the total annual cost of INNS to the British economy is estimated at approximately £ 1.7 billion. In this work, where solid evidence was not available, assumptions based on the biology and ecology of the species involved were used to extrapolate costs. When assumptions had to be used, the figures that were used were intentionally conservative and it has been explicitly stated that they were assumptions. In the anonymous peer review process the calculations and assumptions were challenged, corrected or accepted. This report focused on direct costs as these could be most accurately estimated, however if indirect costs do exist to a similar extent to that found in the meta-analysis, the value of these could be very significant. However, the indirect costs have not been sufficiently explored to support or refute this suggestion. As INNS are becoming more widespread and the economic impact is expected to increase, the effect of the extent of the invasion on control costs was investigated in five case studies (Asian long-horned beetle, carpet sea squirt, water primrose, grey squirrel and coypu). These case studies revealed an exponential increase of the cost of control as an invasion progresses, and demonstrated the benefits of intervention at an early stage, as well as the long-term cost savings if eradication is undertaken early in the invasion process.

Book Chapters

Introduction Introduction: Tourism and inequalities. Author(s): Cole, S. Morgan, N.
Chapter: 1 (Page no: 1) Invasive alien plants as a constraint to development in tropical Asia: is there a crisis in the making? Author(s): Murphy, S. T.
Chapter: 2 (Page no: 1) The spatial and organizational structure of destinations. Author(s): Pearce, D. G.
Chapter: 3 (Page no: 1) Soil health. Author(s): Pinhey, S. Tebbs, M.
Chapter: 4 (Page no: 1) Multiple choice questions. Author(s): Bren, L. Lane, P.
Chapter: 5 (Page no: 1) Introduction. Author(s): John, E. Makris, C.
Chapter: 6 (Page no: 1) Introduction. Author(s): Price, E. O.
Chapter: 7 (Page no: 1) Reproductive allocation in plants. Author(s): Bazzaz, F. A. Ackerly, D. D. Reekie, E. G.
Chapter: 8 (Page no: 1) Introduction to spiritual and religious journeys. Author(s): Dowson, R. Raj, R. Yaqub, M. J.
Chapter: 9 (Page no: 1) Introduction. Author(s): Wearing, S. L. McGehee, N.
Chapter: 10 (Page no: 1) Introduction. Author(s): Buckley, R.
Chapter: 11 (Page no: 1) Introduction. Author(s): Egli, D. B.
Chapter: 12 (Page no: 1) Introduction to urban pest management. Author(s): Dhang, P. Koehler, P. Pereira, R. Dye, D. D., II
Chapter: 13 (Page no: 1) Introduction. Author(s): Musgrave, J.
Chapter: 14 (Page no: 1) Introduction: motivation of the pilgrimage journey. Author(s): Liutikas, D.
Chapter: 15 (Page no: 1) The tourist as a metaphor of the social world. Author(s): Dann, G. M. S.
Chapter: 16 (Page no: 1) Tourism searching for new horizons: an overview. Author(s): Singh, T. V.
Chapter: 17 (Page no: 1) Introduction: reflections on the practice of research. Author(s): Ritchie, B. W. Burns, P. Palmer, C.
Chapter: 18 (Page no: 1) Introduction. Author(s): Gross, S. Klemmer, L.
Chapter: 19 (Page no: 1) Introduction. Author(s): Gursoy, D. Uysal, M. Sirakaya-Turk, E. Ekinci, Y. Baloglu, S.
Chapter: 20 (Page no: 1) Introduction. Author(s): Nuthall, P. L.
Chapter: 21 (Page no: 1) Current issues in managing visitor experiences in nature-based tourism. Author(s): Albrech, J. N.
Chapter: 22 (Page no: 1) Mobilizing travel and transformation. Author(s): Lean, G.
Chapter: 23 (Page no: 1) Case studies in ecotourism: introduction. Author(s): Buckley, R.
Chapter: 24 (Page no: 1) Introduction. Author(s): Evans, J.
Chapter: 25 (Page no: 1) Evolution and a prelude to change. Author(s): Laycock, A.
Chapter: 26 (Page no: 3) The study of animal behaviour and its applications. Author(s): Jensen, P.
Chapter: 27 (Page no: 3) Trends in tourism. Author(s): Moutinho, L.
Chapter: 28 (Page no: 3) Managing the visitor economy: concepts, collaborations, and cases. Author(s): Duignan, M. B.
Chapter: 29 (Page no: 3) Installing and running R. Author(s): Quicke, D. Butcher, B. A. Welton, R. K.
Chapter: 30 (Page no: 3) The ecology of belief - it's all in the connections. Author(s): LaPage, W.
Chapter: 31 (Page no: 4) The concept and definition of investment. Author(s): Syed, S. Miyazako, M.
Chapter: 32 (Page no: 7) Models and their analysis. Author(s): Waterlow, J. C.
Chapter: 33 (Page no: 7) Globalization: planning agricultural research in an open market economy. Author(s): Tabor, S. R.
Chapter: 34 (Page no: 8) Ethics, morality and attitudes. Author(s): Broom, D. M.
Chapter: 35 (Page no: 9) The characteristics of services. Author(s): Coates, C. R. Jones, A. Coates, M. W.
Chapter: 36 (Page no: 10) A synopsis of production economics. Author(s): Nuthall, P. L.
Chapter: 37 (Page no: 11) Pest identification. Author(s): Dhang, P. Koehler, P. Pereira, R. Dye, D. D., II
Chapter: 38 (Page no: 12) Interaction of heredity and environment. Author(s): Price, E. O.
Chapter: 39 (Page no: 13) First simple programs and graphics. Author(s): Quicke, D. Butcher, B. A. Welton, R. K.
Chapter: 40 (Page no: 13) At least read this... Author(s): Stern, R. D. Coe, R. Allan, E. F. Dale, I. C.
Chapter: 41 (Page no: 17) Theoretical frameworks. Author(s): Pearce, D.
Chapter: 42 (Page no: 17) Focus shift in western economies. Author(s): Kuiper, G.
Chapter: 43 (Page no: 23) Solar radiation. Author(s): Azam-Ali, S. N. Squire, G. R.
Chapter: 44 (Page no: 23) Culture: everywhere and nowhere. Author(s): Hoffman, E. Verdooren, A.
Chapter: 45 (Page no: 27) The ecology, energy, and dynamics of belief. Author(s): LaPage, W.
Chapter: 46 (Page no: 28) Conceptual frameworks. Author(s): Pearce, D.
Chapter: 47 (Page no: 28) Wave power and ocean thermal energy conversion. Author(s): Henderson, P. A.
Chapter: 48 (Page no: 30) Clusters and traded interdependencies: place-based theories and models. Author(s): Phillips, P. W. B. Ryan, C. D.
Chapter: 49 (Page no: 31) The dataframe concept. Author(s): Quicke, D. Butcher, B. A. Welton, R. K.
Chapter: 50 (Page no: 31) Bed bugs. Author(s): Dhang, P. Koehler, P. Pereira, R. Dye, D. D., II
Chapter: 51 (Page no: 33) Budgeting theory: the core method of farm systems analysis. Author(s): Nuthall, P. L.
Chapter: 52 (Page no: 33) How to plan a research project. Author(s): Smith, S.
Chapter: 53 (Page no: 35) Recruiting and selecting staff. Author(s): Coates, C. R. Jones, A. Coates, M. W.
Chapter: 54 (Page no: 35) Illustrations, with information on each plant. Author(s): Pinhey, S. Tebbs, M.
Chapter: 55 (Page no: 39) Music. Author(s): Moss, S. Henderson, S.
Chapter: 56 (Page no: 45) Authenticity in tourism. Author(s): Heitmann, S.
Chapter: 57 (Page no: 46) Induction, staff training and development. Author(s): Coates, C. R. Jones, A. Coates, M. W.
Chapter: 58 (Page no: 46) Status of crop modeling. Author(s): Soltani, A. Sinclair, T. R.
Chapter: 59 (Page no: 49) From intercultural competence to diversity competence. Author(s): Hoffman, E. Verdooren, A.
Chapter: 60 (Page no: 49) Budgeting practicalities: costing out the proposals. Author(s): Nuthall, P. L.
Chapter: 61 (Page no: 50) Analytical frameworks. Author(s): Pearce, D.
Chapter: 62 (Page no: 51) Transforming travel experiences. Author(s): Smith, J.
Chapter: 63 (Page no: 53) Planning, performance, and accountability. Author(s): Peterson, W.
Chapter: 64 (Page no: 55) Subterranean termites. Author(s): Dhang, P. Koehler, P. Pereira, R. Dye, D. D., II
Chapter: 65 (Page no: 59) Beliefs, as values, possessions, and lenses. Author(s): LaPage, W.
Chapter: 66 (Page no: 61) Sustainability and tourism: reflections from a muddy pool. Author(s): Harrison, D.
Chapter: 67 (Page no: 62) Leadership and management - do you have what it takes? Author(s): Coates, C. R. Jones, A. Coates, M. W.
Chapter: 68 (Page no: 63) Transforming places. Author(s): Smith, J.
Chapter: 69 (Page no: 65) Integrative frameworks. Author(s): Pearce, D.
Chapter: 70 (Page no: 67) Credibility, authenticity, believability, and park maintenance. Author(s): LaPage, W.
Chapter: 71 (Page no: 69) Matching questions. Author(s): Bren, L. Lane, P.
Chapter: 72 (Page no: 69) Biological rhythms. Author(s): Price, E. O.
Chapter: 73 (Page no: 72) Awareness and consciousness. Author(s): Broom, D. M.
Chapter: 74 (Page no: 75) Patterns of thinking - structures of believing. Author(s): LaPage, W.
Chapter: 75 (Page no: 77) Critical diversity issues: power and ethics. Author(s): Hoffman, E. Verdooren, A.
Chapter: 76 (Page no: 78) Cinema and film. Author(s): Kill, R. Taylor, L.
Chapter: 77 (Page no: 79) Multi-purpose matrices. Author(s): Pearce, D.
Chapter: 78 (Page no: 79) Transforming transport. Author(s): Smith, J.
Chapter: 79 (Page no: 79) The grammar of graphics family of packages. Author(s): Quicke, D. L. J. Butcher, B. A. Welton, R. A. K.
Chapter: 80 (Page no: 82) Fossil fuel pollutants. Author(s): D'Mello, J. P. F.
Chapter: 81 (Page no: 84) Motivation and needs. Author(s): Broom, D. M.
Chapter: 82 (Page no: 84) A meaningful experience. Author(s): Smit, B. Kuiper, G.
Chapter: 83 (Page no: 85) Timing (when?). Author(s): Azam-Ali, S. N. Squire, G. R.
Chapter: 84 (Page no: 85) Sets and Venn diagrams. Author(s): Quicke, D. Butcher, B. A. Welton, R. K.
Chapter: 85 (Page no: 85) The nesting habits of beliefs, and the belief tree. Author(s): LaPage, W.
Chapter: 86 (Page no: 87) Irrigation water demands. Author(s): Laycock, A.
Chapter: 87 (Page no: 89) Transforming communication. Author(s): Smith, J.
Chapter: 88 (Page no: 92) Fill-in-the-blank questions. Author(s): Bren, L. Lane, P.
Chapter: 89 (Page no: 93) The symbolism of belief: signs, symbols, icons, and omens. Author(s): LaPage, W.
Chapter: 90 (Page no: 94) The soil foodweb. Author(s): Whalen, J. K. Sampedro, L.
Chapter: 91 (Page no: 95) Statistics: choosing the right test. Author(s): Quicke, D. L. J. Butcher, B. A. Welton, R. A. K.
Chapter: 92 (Page no: 95) Broadcast media. Author(s): Roberts, J.
Chapter: 93 (Page no: 97) Islands, image and tourism. Author(s): Harrison, D.
Chapter: 94 (Page no: 101) This I believe - discovering your belief system. Author(s): LaPage, W.
Chapter: 95 (Page no: 102) Strategic innovation in tourism business. Author(s): Hjalager, A. M.
Chapter: 96 (Page no: 103) Commonly used measures and statistical tests. Author(s): Quicke, D. L. J. Butcher, B. A. Welton, R. A. K.
Chapter: 97 (Page no: 104) Process frameworks. Author(s): Pearce, D.
Chapter: 98 (Page no: 106) Further reading. Author(s): Smith, J.
Chapter: 99 (Page no: 107) The profit and loss account. Author(s): Coates, C. R. Jones, A. Coates, M. W.
Chapter: 100 (Page no: 109) True or false questions. Author(s): Bren, L. Lane, P.
Chapter: 101 (Page no: 110) Presentation skills. Author(s): Kirchoff, B.
Chapter: 102 (Page no: 111) Animals as seed dispersers. Author(s): Stiles, E. W.
Chapter: 103 (Page no: 111) Belief bites - truisms, metaphors, aphorisms, and the wisdom of the ages. Author(s): LaPage, W.
Chapter: 104 (Page no: 112) The balance sheet. Author(s): Coates, C. R. Jones, A. Coates, M. W.
Chapter: 105 (Page no: 113) Thinking in terms of business models. Author(s): Smit, B.
Chapter: 106 (Page no: 115) Farm finances, financial accounts and records in general. Author(s): Nuthall, P. L.
Chapter: 107 (Page no: 116) Birds and bats. Author(s): Dhang, P. Koehler, P. Pereira, R. Dye, D. D., II
Chapter: 108 (Page no: 116) Events and city marketing: the role of events in cities. Author(s): Mierlo, J. van
Chapter: 109 (Page no: 122) Pricing products and services. Author(s): Coates, C. R. Jones, A. Coates, M. W.
Chapter: 110 (Page no: 124) Prevention and related measures for invasive alien plants in India: policy framework and other initiatives. Author(s): Ravi Khetarpal Kavita Gupta Usha Dev Kavya Dashora
Chapter: 111 (Page no: 130) Systems, networks and composite frameworks. Author(s): Pearce, D.
Chapter: 112 (Page no: 131) Planning. Author(s): Coates, C. R. Jones, A. Coates, M. W.
Chapter: 113 (Page no: 131) Soil stabilizers and coastal plants. Author(s): Pinhey, S. Tebbs, M.
Chapter: 114 (Page no: 131) How do you become an imagineer? Author(s): Kuiper, G.
Chapter: 115 (Page no: 131) Skills required. Author(s): Nuthall, P. L.
Chapter: 116 (Page no: 133) Discussion. Author(s): Gerber, E. Schaffner, U.
Chapter: 117 (Page no: 133) Image-based questions. Author(s): Bren, L. Lane, P.
Chapter: 118 (Page no: 133) The Internet. Author(s): Pearson, E.
Chapter: 119 (Page no: 135) Speciality ground transportation. Author(s): Gross, S. Klemmer, L.
Chapter: 120 (Page no: 136) Canal control structures. Author(s): Laycock, A.
Chapter: 121 (Page no: 137) The TOPOI area Tongue: verbal and non-verbal language. Author(s): Hoffman, E. Verdooren, A.
Chapter: 122 (Page no: 141) Tourism demand. Author(s): Lohmann, G. Panosso Netto, A.
Chapter: 123 (Page no: 141) From beliefs to science and back again. Author(s): LaPage, W.
Chapter: 124 (Page no: 143) Hedges and trees. Author(s): Pinhey, S. Tebbs, M.
Chapter: 125 (Page no: 145) Evaluating capital investments. Author(s): Coates, C. R. Jones, A. Coates, M. W.
Chapter: 126 (Page no: 146) Observation skills. Author(s): Nuthall, P. L.
Chapter: 127 (Page no: 147) Determinant and motivational factors. Author(s): Lohmann, G. Panosso Netto, A.
Chapter: 128 (Page no: 152) Selecting and developing frameworks. Author(s): Pearce, D.
Chapter: 129 (Page no: 153) Irrigation scheduling. Author(s): Finley, S.
Chapter: 130 (Page no: 155) Accommodation. Author(s): Robinson, P. Lück, M. Smith, S.
Chapter: 131 (Page no: 155) Urry's theory of the 'tourist gaze'. Author(s): Lohmann, G. Panosso Netto, A.
Chapter: 132 (Page no: 157) Environmental beliefs as spiritual, sacred, and religious. Author(s): LaPage, W.
Chapter: 133 (Page no: 161) Part 3: Risk management. Author(s): Nuthall, P. L.
Chapter: 134 (Page no: 165) Communication. Author(s): Price, E. O.
Chapter: 135 (Page no: 169) Evidence-informed policy for the 21st century. Author(s): Phillips, P. W. B. Ryan, C. D.
Chapter: 136 (Page no: 169) Anticipation and looking ahead skills. Author(s): Nuthall, P. L.
Chapter: 137 (Page no: 171) Food and beverage. Author(s): Robinson, P. Lück, M. Smith, S.
Chapter: 138 (Page no: 172) Frameworks and future directions in tourism research. Author(s): Pearce, D.
Chapter: 139 (Page no: 173) What can go wrong: error, bias and confounding. Author(s): Law, G. R. Pascoe, S. W.
Chapter: 140 (Page no: 173) Printed media. Author(s): Kenyon, A. J.
Chapter: 141 (Page no: 176) Conclusions. Author(s): Buckley, R.
Chapter: 142 (Page no: 177) Low-pressure pipelines. Author(s): Laycock, A.
Chapter: 143 (Page no: 178) Conclusion. Author(s): Andriotis, K.
Chapter: 144 (Page no: 185) Visitor attractions. Author(s): Robinson, P. Lück, M. Smith, S.
Chapter: 145 (Page no: 185) How to do case studies. Author(s): Smith, S.
Chapter: 146 (Page no: 186) Mariot's model of tourist flows. Author(s): Lohmann, G. Panosso Netto, A.
Chapter: 147 (Page no: 187) Monte Carlo tests and randomization. Author(s): Quicke, D. Butcher, B. A. Welton, R. K.
Chapter: 148 (Page no: 187) Campbell's model of recreational and vacational travel. Author(s): Lohmann, G. Panosso Netto, A.
Chapter: 149 (Page no: 189) Historic cities as sustainable tourist destinations. Author(s): Travis, A. S.
Chapter: 150 (Page no: 190) The imagineer's design methodology. Author(s): Kuiper, G.
Chapter: 151 (Page no: 191) Policy frameworks for the implementation of a classical biological control strategy: the Chinese experience. Author(s): Ding JianQing
Chapter: 152 (Page no: 193) Defert's tourist function index. Author(s): Lohmann, G. Panosso Netto, A.
Chapter: 153 (Page no: 198) Canal lining. Author(s): Laycock, A.
Chapter: 154 (Page no: 199) Geothermal generation. Author(s): Henderson, P. A.
Chapter: 155 (Page no: 201) How to do content analysis. Author(s): Smith, S.
Chapter: 156 (Page no: 202) Social organization. Author(s): Price, E. O.
Chapter: 157 (Page no: 207) Essays and projects. Author(s): Bren, L. Lane, P.
Chapter: 158 (Page no: 207) Spectator sports. Author(s): Moss, S. Clements, P. McCullough, N.
Chapter: 159 (Page no: 211) Operations management. Author(s): Southern, G.
Chapter: 160 (Page no: 215) The functional ecology of soil seed banks. Author(s): Thompson, K.
Chapter: 161 (Page no: 216) Dark visits. Author(s): Newton, S.
Chapter: 162 (Page no: 218) Training. Author(s): Burton, M.
Chapter: 163 (Page no: 219) Themes in tourism. Author(s): Robinson, P. Lück, M. Smith, S.
Chapter: 164 (Page no: 220) Personal space and social dynamics. Author(s): Price, E. O.
Chapter: 165 (Page no: 221) How to prepare a research report or presentation. Author(s): Smith, S.
Chapter: 166 (Page no: 224) Climatic factors influencing yield. Author(s): Ehlers, W. Goss, M.
Chapter: 167 (Page no: 225) Conclusion. Author(s): Lukovíc, T.
Chapter: 168 (Page no: 227) Decision and management processes and their improvement. Author(s): Nuthall, P. L.
Chapter: 169 (Page no: 228) Tourism infrastructure. Author(s): Lohmann, G. Panosso Netto, A. Rodrigues, C. B.
Chapter: 170 (Page no: 231) Tourist attraction. Author(s): Lohmann, G. Panosso Netto, A. Rodrigues, C. B.
Chapter: 171 (Page no: 233) Heritage conservation planning, at the site scale: management and interpretation. Author(s): Travis, A. S.
Chapter: 172 (Page no: 237) Part 4: Concluding comments - assessing and improving managerial ability. Author(s): Nuthall, P. L.
Chapter: 173 (Page no: 240) Mapping and parsing text input for data. Author(s): Quicke, D. Butcher, B. A. Welton, R. K.
Chapter: 174 (Page no: 241) Dynamic modelling. Author(s): Wildi, O.
Chapter: 175 (Page no: 243) The TOPOI area Organization. Author(s): Hoffman, E. Verdooren, A.
Chapter: 176 (Page no: 243) Seasonality. Author(s): Lohmann, G. Panosso Netto, A. Rodrigues, C. B.
Chapter: 177 (Page no: 247) Analysis of survey data. Author(s): Stern, R. D. Coe, R. Allan, E. F. Dale, I. C.
Chapter: 178 (Page no: 252) Working towards your own signature. Author(s): Kuiper, G. Smit, B.
Chapter: 179 (Page no: 253) Conclusion. Author(s): Reisinger, Y. Moufakkir, O.
Chapter: 180 (Page no: 264) Crisis management and strategic implications. Author(s): Jiang YaWei Scott, N. Ritchie, B. W.
Chapter: 181 (Page no: 271) Solving linear equations. Author(s): Mrode, R.
Chapter: 182 (Page no: 276) Introducing further methods of farm systems analysis. Author(s): Nuthall, P. L.
Chapter: 183 (Page no: 287) Globalization and tourism. Author(s): Keller, P. F.
Chapter: 184 (Page no: 289) Conclusion. Author(s): Robinson, P. Heitmann, S. Dieke, P.
Chapter: 185 (Page no: 292) Cities as sustainable tourism destinations. Author(s): Travis, A. S.
Chapter: 186 (Page no: 313) Spiritual entertainment. Author(s): Morpeth, N.
Chapter: 187 (Page no: 317) Applications of the TOPOI model. Author(s): Hoffman, E. Verdooren, A.
Chapter: 188 (Page no: 321) Conclusions. Author(s): Wilson, G. A.
Chapter: 189 (Page no: 322) More on apply family of functions - avoid loops to get more speed. Author(s): Quicke, D. Butcher, B. A. Welton, R. K.
Chapter: 190 (Page no: 329) Health entertainment. Author(s): Rundshagen, V.
Chapter: 191 (Page no: 344) Conclusions. Author(s): Swarbrooke, J.
Chapter: 192 (Page no: 347) Recreation conflict management. Author(s): Hammit, W. E. Schneider, I. E.
Chapter: 193 (Page no: 348) Reading and writing data to and from files. Author(s): Quicke, D. Butcher, B. A. Welton, R. K.
Chapter: 194 (Page no: 353) Applications of mixed models in plant breeding. Author(s): Balzarini, M.
Chapter: 195 (Page no: 365) Resources and further reading. Author(s): Stern, R. D. Coe, R. Allan, E. F. Dale, I. C.
Chapter: 196 (Page no: 453) Tourism research. Author(s): Robinson, P. Lück, M. Smith, S.
Chapter: 197 (Page no: 473) The future of tourism. Author(s): Robinson, P. Lück, M. Smith, S.